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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty OIL SHORTAGES?

Post  mchoraji Thu Feb 21 2013, 09:44

I am surprised there are oil products shortage in ug allegedly due to the up-coming polls in kenya.here all is well & i haven't seen any cause for alarm.don't panic & hopefully there will be no disruptions.the extra cost element when products are fellied thr' the dar port is a problem that ug,rw,burundi & E. DRC shouldn't unnecessary bear

http://www.monitor.co.ug/Business/Commodities/Fuel-shortage-ahead-of-Kenya-elections-pushes-pump-prices-up/-/688610/1699734/-/4thrd8/-/index.html
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: francophone armies

Post  proud kenyan Fri Feb 22 2013, 00:01

Spartan wrote:Over the past few weeks I've had musings related to why Francophone countries are doing a poor job securing their countries, from Mali, C.A.R, DRC etc and decided to do some digging on their inventories. And I wasn't alone. Turns out, most are modestly equipped. The problem isn't poverty or equipment, it's the mentality - they just haven't got the stomach to fight, even a good fight. I was pleasantly surprised Guinea, for example, is not doing very badly hardware-wise compared to Malawi a country of similar size (with Tanzania to contend with, potentially)
REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 TIGER
Guinean soldiers with mean-looking Russian-made troop carriers. But seriosuly, the guy above needs to retire (another systemic problem in Francophone armies, the ranks that form the foot soldiers are staffed with 40 - 50 year-olds)

REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Mi+24
Guinean Airforce Mi-24s

with those uniforms i would also have no morale to fight, at least they can come up with some exercise where the troops select their fatigues, may actually give the armies a sense of belonging.

the mali maneno, the african armies should go in under their own terms of engagement and pace, polepole ndio mwendo

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  Olekoima Fri Feb 22 2013, 16:03

mchoraji wrote:I am surprised there are oil products shortage in ug allegedly due to the up-coming polls in kenya.here all is well & i haven't seen any cause for alarm.don't panic & hopefully there will be no disruptions.the extra cost element when products are fellied thr' the dar port is a problem that ug,rw,burundi & E. DRC shouldn't unnecessary bear

http://www.monitor.co.ug/Business/Commodities/Fuel-shortage-ahead-of-Kenya-elections-pushes-pump-prices-up/-/688610/1699734/-/4thrd8/-/index.html

Thinking a long the same lines? I posted a similar thing in the Ugandan page only to read your thoughts here. Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty LAPSET CORRIDOR

Post  mchoraji Mon Feb 25 2013, 10:18

Hi guys have been taking a critical look at what will be the Lapset corridor all the way to Cameroon.this is a great idea but there are a few weak links.instability in some of the nations where the route passes are telling.South sudan was born the other day & is barely out of it's diapers.there have been a few clashes in some of it's states in the recent past.As for the CAR, we are familiar with the script of what has been happening there in the past few weeks.the other nation besides kenya that is fairy stable in this matrix is cameroon which is the final nation in the land bridge between the indian & atlantic oceans.
More than ever before we need stability in both SS & CAR.each nation in the matrix is supposed to fund the railway construction in it's territory.the link between Lamu, Juba & Addis ababa may not be much of the problem since generally there is need & commitment on the three parties involved.my concern is has CAR & cameroun the two francophone nations in the corridor been as committed or involved kwa hii maneno as they should?
I also note that the corridor will affect more than the nations it passes through.UG to start with will have a standard gauge link from kampala to juba while others in the vicinity i.e DRC, Chad,sudan, congo brazaville & giant nigeria may all fancy a connection

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty M23 IN-FIGHTING

Post  mchoraji Tue Feb 26 2013, 16:09

What's this about these guys turning against each other??



Clashes between rival factions of the March 23 movement (M23) in the northeast of the Democratic Republic of Congo have left 10 people dead.

The fighting broke out late on Sunday in the Rutshuru area because of differences within the ranks of M23 over the stance the rebels should take on the peace deal that was signed by regional leaders on Sunday in the Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa, AFP reported on Monday.

A hospital source in the town of Rutshuru said that 10 people died in the clashes, while two injured men were taken in for medical treatment.

On Sunday, the eleven countries in the Great Lakes region of Africa signed a UN-mediated peace agreement meant to end the interminable cycles of violence that have been plaguing the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo for many years.

The leaders of the Democratic Republic of Congo, Angola, Burundi, the Central African Republic, the Republic of Congo, Rwanda, South Africa, South Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia signed the peace deal, which paves the way for the deployment of a new military brigade to take on rebel groups fighting the Kinshasa government.

UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon attended the signing ceremony, but no representatives of rebel groups came to Addis Ababa.

In a meeting in the Mozambican capital Maputo on February 8, leaders from the International Conference on the Great Lakes Region (ICGLR) approved the deployment of a 4,000-strong peacekeeping force, which would come from Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) countries, to Congo.

The force will be able to combat "whoever is trying to destabilize the situation in the eastern part of Congo," SADC Secretary General Tomaz Salomao said after the meeting.

The force would be contained within the existing UN peacekeeping force in Congo, known as MONUSCO -- the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

In July 2012, Congolese President Joseph Kabila and Rwandan President Paul Kagame, along with other leaders from the Great Lakes region, signed an accord that called for the creation of a neutral international military force to combat rebels in the provinces of North Kivu and South Kivu in the eastern Congo.

The agreement also called for the Great Lakes leaders to work with the African Union and the United Nations "for an immediate establishment of a neutral international force to eradicate M23, FDLR (Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda), and all other negative forces in eastern DRC, and patrol and secure the border zones."

The M23 rebels defected from the Congolese army in April 2012 in protest over alleged mistreatment in the Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of Congo (FARDC). They had previously been integrated into the Congolese army under a peace deal signed in 2009.

Since early May 2012, nearly 3 million people have fled their homes in the eastern Congo. About 2.5 million have resettled in Congo, but more than 460,000 have crossed into neighboring Rwanda and Uganda.

Congo has faced numerous problems over the past few decades, such as grinding poverty, crumbling infrastructure, and a war in the east of the country that has dragged on since 1998 and left over 5.5 million people dead.
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Cameroon Anglophone separatists up the stakes

Post  mogen Wed Feb 27 2013, 05:18

In the meantime, Anglophone Cameroonians appear to be determined to keep throwing a spanner in the works.

http://www.africareview.com/News/Cameroon-Anglophone-separatists-up-the-stakes/-/979180/1705362/-/13jkl8t/-/index.html
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty SO MANY CONFLICTS

Post  mchoraji Wed Feb 27 2013, 08:27

mogen wrote:In the meantime, Anglophone Cameroonians appear to be determined to keep throwing a spanner in the works.

http://www.africareview.com/News/Cameroon-Anglophone-separatists-up-the-stakes/-/979180/1705362/-/13jkl8t/-/index.html

Sometime back ON wondered whether there are some dark forces that control africa causing so many conflicts all over.i think africa has the most nations with guys wanting to secede; from somalia, mrc at the kenyan coast, darfur in sudan, northerners in uganda, boko haram in nigeria, M23 & co in the DRC, there is an ethnic group in zambia, zanzibar from muungano & even in cameroun? we really need a stable continent. with economic growth at it's highest compared to other regions in the world if we just do things right we could in ten years be way ahead.

by the way the article i posted yesterday was from Press Tv.they have a follow up today on the link i am posting down. can anyone confirm if M23 are in-fighting? i don't really believe Press tv. it's usually an iranian govt. propaganda tool. when OLN started they were being used by al-shabaab kuingilia KDF but sometimes they get it right

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/02/27/290991/rocket-attack-kills-8-in-east-congo/
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  Spartan Wed Feb 27 2013, 10:48

mchoraji wrote:by the way the article i posted yesterday was from Press Tv.they have a follow up today on the link i am posting down. can anyone confirm if M23 are in-fighting? i don't really believe Press tv. it's usually an iranian govt. propaganda tool. when OLN started they were being used by al-shabaab kuingilia KDF but sometimes they get it right

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/02/27/290991/rocket-attack-kills-8-in-east-congo/

We first heard of 'splits' within the M23 from their erstwhile enemies, the Congolese army and MONUSCO five days ago. All credible information indicates that some kind of explosive device was thrown in a bar, by FDLR or Mai Mai, which killed an M23 Maj, his escort and other civillians. There has been no M23 on M23 fight. Like I wrote yesterday, the Mai Mai want areas formerly under their control wrested back from the M23, including border areas like Bunagana. Skirmishes between the Mai Mai and M23 four days ago forced civillians to cross to Uganda and UPDF deployed as a precaution.

This is the scenario I see playing out - MONUSCO and FARDC are wishing anticipating a split between the M23 as a result of the signing of the peace accord. Kama ilivyo dasturi zao,they are dismissing the M23 as a simple armed group that will disintegrate at any opportunity.

Military intelligence might want to gather intel that either dispels or puts paid to these questions;
(i) The FARDC and Mai Mai fought together to defend Minova, the town 20 miles to the west of Goma, could they be, at the urging of the FARDC, taking this opportunity of a 'split' between the M23 to dislodge them?
(ii) The tactics employed thus far point strongly to FDLR (armed men also crossed into the adjacent Kanungu district in Uganda and killed a wild life askari and another civilian) Are the Mai Mai acting alone or are they in concert with FDLR?
(iii) The M23 'split' info can be traced back to MONUSCO a week or so ago. A UN source told Al Jazeera that "he wouldn't be surprised if there was a shoot out at some point in the coming days" two days before the incident in the bar that is now bandied around as a shootout between M23 factions. Did Monusco get wind of these impending attacks from their FARDC friends. If so, what is the extent of their ops that involve killing of civilians?

In case I sounded like an M23 apologist, that's because they seem to be the nice guys compared to FARDC, FDLR, and I daresay, MONUSCO Neutral. I reserve the right to be wrong on this, like everyone else.
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty M23 supposed aplit.

Post  Guest Wed Feb 27 2013, 14:12

@Spartan - useful jewel, your analysis. Helpful too. You know how tedious making sense of al the jumble conflicting pieces that get thrown up. All indications, from where am seating, validate your assessment. Our chaps bringing out credible stuff indicating "someone" manipulating the local situation in areas around Bunagana and Rhutsuru to instigate a wide-spread fall out of ALL present Alliances - not just the M23! Remember the scare-statements at the UNSC by MUNOSCO this week. Our job as EAC is incredibly simple - find the nexus between this confusion and MUNOSCO alafu kwisha mambo ya Bazungu.

Notice the UN-driven Agreement made no mention of the M23 and neither defined "negative forces". And this hasn't escaped the attention of M23 - they issued a protest Communique on the sidelines of the Addis Ceremony. Despite the recurrent tensions between the Military and Political heads of the group, their relevance in Eastern DRC depends on their remaining ONE. I detest the Tutsi Hegemonistic philosophy that underpins this group but am just as convinced that EAC Interest of Peace and predictability / stability of DRC lies in arresting further fragmentation of the players already engaged - these are known factors.

Immediately? A slight and necessary increase in our covert "Intel+Shooters" footprint in Kivu. We cannot sit this one out. Whatever you can share....?

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Kismayu militia disarmed

Post  mogen Wed Feb 27 2013, 14:34

ON
Maneno gani hii tena.

wrote:Breaking: Freelance militia in Kismayo allied to Somali gov disarmed and arrested by Kenyan AMISOM troops
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  Guest Wed Feb 27 2013, 14:44

@Mogen - live Ops. Give it space to close out.

Agents Provocateurs. Recent flare up killed 18 of Merahan and Ogadeni - kwani how?

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  mogen Wed Feb 27 2013, 15:32

ole Nkarei wrote:@Mogen - live Ops. Give it space to close out.

Agents Provocateurs. Recent flare up killed 18 of Merahan and Ogadeni - kwani how?

Thanks bro. A little kijapo helps straighten rough edges in AK47-carrying bad boys.

Elsewhere Soomaaliya is changing quickly.

1. somalia Shilling appreciating against the US$ impressively.
2. UGABAG boys chasing kebabs all over Bay, Shabelle na sijui wapi. Bad guys always running b4 the mean-looking chaps arrive with their mean machines in tow.
3. Somalia Govt talking settling IDPs - sweet music to our ears because Dadaab should be next camp to emptied
4 and finally Crazy Town might actually revert back to its official name

Check the fabulous pictures of womens' basketball in Mogadishu. Nobody ever gives up. http://www.worldpressphoto.org/awards/2013/sports-feature/jan-grarup/06?gallery=6096
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  Guest Wed Feb 27 2013, 22:48

mogen wrote:
ole Nkarei wrote:@Mogen - live Ops. Give it space to close out.

Agents Provocateurs. Recent flare up killed 18 of Merahan and Ogadeni - kwani how?

Thanks bro. A little kijapo helps straighten rough edges in AK47-carrying bad boys>

Its all about the SFG making determined efforts to either stop or influence the Federation of Jubba. The Convention to ratify the Jubbaland Charter was postponed to today when the SFG instigated a fire-fight between elements of Merahan Militia bused into Kismayu from Shabelle and Puntland and the Ogadeni-Ras Kaboni Militia of Madobe - on the very day the Convention was due to kick off. SFG had also held hostage the Delegation from Gedo without clear justification except that the SFG had called a parrallel Convention in Mogandishu and demanded the one set for Kismayu to close shop. Finally a delegation flies into Chai Town from Crazy Town and throws down the Gauntlet, and Jubbaland picks it up and throws it right back - stay outta our business. So, we round up all elements of an SFG/SAF send from Crazy Town, only to sequester them and ensure the Convention does kick off without the shenanigans of SFG. We should have Jubbaland Federated in very quick order.

Contrary to Media Reports, swift intervention of KDF-AMISOM arrested what may have easily degenerated into generalized engagements between more than the two groups involved in this contact. And implanted a dispute resolution Team of local Elders backed by the full might of KDF-AMISOM.

I should mention that the Provisional Federal Charter stipulates that Resources-sharing must be crafted by the SFG and fully Federated States which are even now in the primary stages of formation all over Soomalia. But the SFG has already granted Mining Rights to mainly British Companies in Regions yet to Federate and so seeks determinedly to legitimise these illegal concession by influencing the composition of the Federating States. The Brits are fecked on both sides of the Border!

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  mogen Thu Feb 28 2013, 06:48

ole Nkarei wrote:
mogen wrote:
ole Nkarei wrote:@Mogen - live Ops. Give it space to close out.

Agents Provocateurs. Recent flare up killed 18 of Merahan and Ogadeni - kwani how?

Thanks bro. A little kijapo helps straighten rough edges in AK47-carrying bad boys>

Its all about the SFG making determined efforts to either stop or influence the Federation of Jubba...

Puzzles me why the SFG isn't embracing federalism as set out in their constitution and let regions federate as they agree to. What they are doing in Jubba Hose is as ill-advised as their mischievous opposition to the funding of KDF-Naval force by the UNSC. Maajabu ya dsunia ni mengi. Biting the hand that's feeding you, aisee! If it feels pain, that hand can easily slap your cheek. I hear the Jubbalanders have had their way and conference is on in full force - community-driven process that will probably result in a declaration of 'Jubbaland State' and President Hassan will have to find a way of accommodating them.

On another note, I hear the M23 Rebel group have sacked their political leader,Jean-Marie Runiga.
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty M23 Removes Political Head

Post  Spartan Thu Feb 28 2013, 17:07

It turns out the noises from Monusco had some truth afterall. Gentlemen, allow me to eat crow, as it were. The M23 Resolution in full:

Resolution No 013/HCM/M23/2013 of February 2013 concerning the impeachment of the President of the Movement of 23 March The Military High Comman.

Given the statutes of the March 23 Movement, as amended to date,


Given the rules and regulations of the M23 and with regard to Decision No 002/HCM/M23/CNDP/2012 of 9 July 2012 establishing a body responsible for the coordination of political action of the Movement,


Considering Decision no 03 of 2012 of 9 July 2012 appointing a Coordinator of the Political Wing of the Movement,


Considering the relevant resolutions of the extraordinary Congress held on March 23 Movement dated 17 August 2012 relating to the restructuring of the Movement,


Considering the ensure the defense and protection of the noble cause that led to the creation of M23,


Considering the need to ensure the defence and protection of the noble cause that led to the creation of M23,


Considering the inability of Mr Jean-Marie RUNIGA Lugereo to drive the vision of M23 and to implement its political program,


Considering the inability of the concerned individual to define and provide general policy guidance to the different structures of the movement in order to ensure the required visibility and appropriate advocacy,


Whereas it is an established fact that Jean-Marie Runiga Lugerereo offered to outsiders to the Movement, namely general Bosco Ntaganda, the political leverage to influence decisions of the Movement at the highest level,


Whereas during his tenure at the helm of our Movement, Jean-Marie RUNIGA Lugerero had diverted finances of the Movement to support obscure and prohibited activities such as recruitment of political and military leaders on behalf of General Bosco Ntaganda to whom he answers to thus enabling the General the opportunity to sow unrest and divisions,


Given the charges brought against Mr Runiga including financial embezzlement, division, ethnic hatred, deceit and political immaturity,


Given that during the meeting of the Military High Command extended to Executive Board Members and senior officials of the Movement, Mr Runiga acknowledged the charges brought against him and consequently agreed to abide by the final decision of the Military High Command.


Whereas in its conclusions, the Military High Command has qualified of High Treason the charges against Runiga, whereas its fitting to ensure the proper functioning of the Movement and continue driving the peace process at a time when positive signals are coming from both the national and international community to ensure peaceful and sustainable resolution to the conflict in DRC,


GIVEN THE NEED AND URGENECY, THE Military High Command has decided as follows.


Article 1: Mr Runiga is relieved of his duties as Chairman of M23 with immediate effect.


Article 2: The Vice President of the Movement assumes on an interim basis, the functions of the President until the appointment by Congress of a new President of M23.


All previous provisions contrary to this decision shall be repealed with effect on the date of its signature.


Done at Bunagana, February 27, 2012


For the military command of M23


Signed:

Sultani Makenga

Brigadier General‘
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Mean while from SA police once again!

Post  MOOZALENDO Fri Mar 01 2013, 09:04

The SA police still keep setting new records. They must have some of the most callous and inhumane people indeed! Probably besting the apartheid police in fact. Have a look at this...
SA Police brutality'.....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukswmVSm8TE

How do you do that to a fellow even if they are from a neighboring country Bwana?

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  mchoraji Fri Mar 01 2013, 09:44

MOOZALENDO wrote:The SA police still keep setting new records. They must have some of the most callous and inhumane people indeed! Probably besting the apartheid police in fact. Have a look at this...
SA Police brutality'.....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukswmVSm8TE

How do you do that to a fellow even if they are from a neighboring country Bwana?

Mooz

Saw that on CNN & was like WTH?? they are learning a lot from al shabaab.sadly that guy died
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Somalia.

Post  Cycoh 'DUDUS' Fri Mar 01 2013, 15:12

Allow me gentlemen to jump into this Somali conundrum and air my own views concerning the situation on ground. Even though O.N. might be somewhere mid-air comforting himself with puffs of compartmentalised Oxygen! Very Happy
Well, Crazy town has been working around the clock behind Kenya's back since only God knows when, a worthwhile factor behind all this Chai town v/s Crazy town rhetorics- Something sucking the Jubbaland Initiative slowly. IMO, whatever went on in the name of Somali elections was nothing but another Western, cleverly-induced manipulative-implosions right in the heart of Somalis. That president and his parliament-based swimming partners are nothing but Jonny's Strategic assets fully alligned in the Anti-Azania campaign. But thankfully, such ill-advised ambitions couldn't go past the Kenyan Intel community undetected.

In addition, the Brits are also greasing their motive-enthusiastic mode by planning a confrence in June to up their opportunities. Never second-guess an operation from an armchair.


Last edited by Cycoh 'DUDUS' on Wed Mar 06 2013, 14:18; edited 1 time in total
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  Cycoh 'DUDUS' Fri Mar 01 2013, 15:40

From open-sources; A media tool full of "Opinions" from a Western strategic asset.
http://www,hiiraan.com/op4/2013/mar/28313/kismaayo_a_somalian_solution.aspx

A Kenyana Media-tool asset Very Happy
http://www.somalilandsun.com/index.php/world/2385-somalia-conference-why-now

Compare and contrast!
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Somalia govt preparing 2000-strong force to attack Kismayo

Post  mogen Sun Mar 03 2013, 12:36

I read on Twitter

Farah Jama wrote:Reports from Mogadishu say Somali Gov is preparing 2000 strong militia to attack #Kismayo city. The militia is led Gobaanle,a former warlord. If those reports over Mogadishu's military intervention are confirmed, Somalia may slide back into civil war again
.


Anyone heard this from your contacts in Crazy Town/Kismayo?
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty KENYA POLLS

Post  Spartan Mon Mar 04 2013, 08:16

All eyes and thoughts are on the Kenya elections here. A record number of Ugandan journalists are in Kenya to cover the polls. As for me, I am always tuned in on Citizen TV in the mornings on my office TV (to watch Naswa, that Kenyan version of Just For Laughs). Today I will have to tune in the whole time. The sudden silence by all security aficionados is very telling. Go ahead and do us proud.
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Kenya Poll 2013

Post  MOOZALENDO Mon Mar 04 2013, 11:10

Spartan wrote:All eyes and thoughts are on the Kenya elections here. A record number of Ugandan journalists are in Kenya to cover the polls. As for me, I am always tuned in on Citizen TV in the mornings on my office TV (to watch Naswa, that Kenyan version of Just For Laughs). Today I will have to tune in the whole time. The sudden silence by all security aficionados is very telling. Go ahead and do us proud.
Spartan,

All indications are that the citizens seriously want a peaceful poll. Numerous interviews suggest this...if everyone puts their best foot forward (i.e., IEBC, Police, and the politicos) maintain their peace calls, we in the middle of it and you guys across the border do not need to worry too much. The foreign correspondents are all over the place filing reports some quite comical! I could not avoid chuckling away under my breath.

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Post  Cycoh 'DUDUS' Mon Mar 04 2013, 11:46

@mogen, I haven't received any reports on the aformentioned militant activities up to now. But I won't rule out such cantarkerous behavious as far-fetched.

Spartan wrote:All eyes and thoughts are on the Kenya elections here. A record number of Ugandan journalists are in Kenya to cover the polls. As for me, I am always tuned in on Citizen TV in the mornings on my office TV (to watch Naswa, that Kenyan version of Just For Laughs). Today I will have to tune in the whole time. The sudden silence by all security aficionados is very telling. Go ahead and do us proud.

Stay tuned, man. I can assure you that we are getting a CIC who surely fits in the Kenyana Matrix.
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Post  Sierra Kilo Mon Mar 11 2013, 09:19

Kenya


Kenya’s Election: What Uhuru Kenyatta’s Victory Means for Africa


By Alex PerryMarch 09, 2013113 Comments






REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Wp163396714SIMON MAINA / AFP / Getty ImagesSupporters of Kenyan presidential candidate Uhuru Kenyatta touch his picture on an election poster as they celebrate upon learning of his victory in Kenya's national elections on March 9, 2013 in Kiambu, north of Nairobi.



Uhuru Kenyatta, wanted by the International Criminal Court (ICC) for crimes against humanity, won election Saturday as Kenya‘s new President. The Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission announced that Kenya’s richest man, the current Deputy Prime Minister and former Finance Minister, and the son of Kenya’s first President Jomo Kenyatta, won 50.07% of the vote — just marginally more than was needed to avoid a second round run-off. Kenyatta’s running mate Will Ruto, a second of the four Kenyans indicted by the ICC, is slated to become Deputy President. Turnout was a high 86%. With the margin of victory so thin, and the count plagued by days of delays and hundreds of thousands of spoiled ballots, Kenyatta’s main rival, Prime Minister Raila Odinga, has already said he will fight it in court.
If the result withstands Odinga’s challenge, a win for Kenyatta would represent the most stunning articulation to date of a renewed mood of self-assertion in Africa. Half a century ago, Africa echoed with the sound of anti-colonial liberation. Today, 10 years of dramatic and sustained economic growth and a growing political maturity coinciding with the economic meltdown in the West and political dysfunction in Washington and Europe, has granted Africa’s leaders the authority and means to once again challenge Western intervention on the continent, whether it comes in the form of foreign diplomatic pressure, foreign aid, foreign rights monitors or even foreign correspondents. In his victory speech, Kenyatta said: “Today, we celebrate the triumph of democracy; the triumph of peace; the triumph of nationhood. Despite the misgivings of many in the world, we demonstrated a level of political maturity that surpassed expectations. That is the real victory today. A victory for our nation. A victory that demonstrates to all that Kenya has finally come of age. That this, indeed, is Kenya’s moment.” He also pledged to work together with his political opponents with “friendship and cooperation.” “Kenya needs us to work together,” he said. “Kenya needs us to move on.” In a pointed warning to the international community, he added: “We expect the international community [to] respect the sovereignty and democratic will of the people of Kenya. The Africa star is shining brightly and the destiny of Africa is now in our hands.”
(PHOTOS: Scenes from Kenya’s 2013 election.)
The ICC, based in The Hague, is a particular focus of African anger. The court accuses Kenyatta of being one of four Kenyans who orchestrated the bloody tribal violence which followed the last election in 2007-8. After paramilitary police loyal to the incumbent Mwai Kibaki — also from Kenyatta’s Kikuyu tribe — stormed the counting center, and shortly thereafter officials declared their candidate the winner, the country erupted in weeks of killing in which around 1,200 died and tens of thousands were displaced. The ICC intervened to try to bring those most responsible for the violence to account after concluding Kenya was unable to do so for itself
But the ICC’s focus on Africa — nearly all of its investigations concern Africans — has earned it accusations of bias. And the manner in which the 2007-8 tribal violence was beamed around the world by the Western media, deterring tourists and overshadowing the story of an increasingly less impoverished, and more healthy, sophisticated and self-reliant Kenya, also drew widespread resentment. At this election, with a new 2010 constitution, and a new electoral body with a new — though not glitch-free — electronic voting system, Kenyans’ determination to hold a peaceful election has been palpable. The popular mood has also been notably anti-Western. Foreign diplomats have been warned of blood-curdling revenge should they interfere in the poll. Foreign journalists have been publicly ridiculed and denounced as prejudiced if they predicted chaos and disaster. And a central message of most candidates’ campaigns was strident, patriotic self-determination. Kenyatta and Ruto — who deny the charges brought by the ICC — managed to convert a Kenyan public that initially largely supported the ICC’s attempts to call them to account into one that viewed the ICC as a representative of unwarranted Western interference in African affairs. In the last days of the campaign, Kenyatta’s Jubilee Alliance reflected and heightened the anti-West mood, saying it was “deeply concerned about the shadowy, suspicious and rather animated involvement of the British High Commissioner in Kenya’s election.” Such assertions of sovereignty are only likely to intensify under a Kenyatta presidency. Ruto’s trial is due to begin on May 28, Kenyatta’s on July 9. Both men have said they will attend — a point Kenyatta repeated Saturday when he said his government would “continue to cooperate with international institutions.” Kenyatta has, however, said that his official duties would prevent their pair from being at The Hague continually — a pointed diluting of the court’s importance, and one that will likely drag out trials already expected to last several years.
From the West’s perspective, a Kenyatta victory presents a conundrum. Assistant Secretary for African Affairs, Johnnie Carson, warned before the election that “choices have consequences,” widely seen as a recommendation that voters should back Odinga. London has already warned that it would keep official contact with a President Kenyatta to a minimum, as it does with Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe. But the reality is that, in a world where Kenya finds itself as much sought after as suitor, Western powers no longer get to call the shots in Africa. In many ways, and particularly in its home-grown innovations in mobile technology such as mobile banking and solar power, Kenya personifies the new, emerging Africa of young and dynamic entrepreneurs. Its position as East Africa’s business hub has only been enhanced by its recent discovery of large reserves of oil and gas. Kenya is also a lynchpin of the U.S. and European security structure in Africa, ranged as it is against Islamist groups and pirates, particularly in neighboring Somalia. Westerners rely on Kenya in other ways too: the Kenyan capital, Nairobi, is the base of choice for much of the international community in East Africa, from large embassies to aid group headquarters to donor conferences to security contractors. And should the West give Kenya the cold shoulder, it may find it is not missed as it once might have been: Chinese, Indian, Middle Eastern and Latin American diplomats and businessmen are also part of the fabric in today’s Kenya.
In Washington last month, Carson’s predecessor at the State Department Jendayi Frazer warned Western leaders to be “pragmatic” in their approach to Kenya, adding she was “troubled” by Carson’s “very reckless and irresponsible” statement, which she called “essentially meddling in Kenya’s election.” The ICC case against Kenyatta “is a weak one and is based on hearsay,” she said in a public discussion at the Brookings Institution, and — in words that might have come from Kenyatta himself — she added the ICC itself was “a very manipulated institution, particularly by the West.”



Read more: http://world.time.com/2013/03/09/kenyas-election-what-uhuru-kenyattas-victory-means-for-africa/#ixzz2ND1hHIEk
Sierra Kilo
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Re: REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS:

Post  proud kenyan Mon Mar 11 2013, 11:00

mogen wrote:I read on Twitter

Farah Jama wrote:Reports from Mogadishu say Somali Gov is preparing 2000 strong militia to attack #Kismayo city. The militia is led Gobaanle,a former warlord. If those reports over Mogadishu's military intervention are confirmed, Somalia may slide back into civil war again
.


Anyone heard this from your contacts in Crazy Town/Kismayo?

just saw this
http://www.garoweonline.com/artman2/publish/Somalia_27/Somalia_Troops_from_Gedo.shtml

seems johnnie was banking on PEV in kenya's election to break down the jubbaland initiative and 'eat' the best way he knows how to..seems the NIS in kenya and the MI on the ground in zoomaaliya are fully aware and taking the threats seriously

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Post  HokumA Mon Mar 11 2013, 11:30

Another Russian Chopper downed this time in Kivu.

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/03/10/292920/4-killed-in-un-helicopter-crash-in-congo/
http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/afp/130310/crew-dies-un-helicopter-crash-dr-congo
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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Intransigence of SFG in Jubbaland

Post  Guest Mon Mar 11 2013, 17:07

SFG has a determined interest in how the Federal Union will be crafted for various reasons not least of which are commitments made to Western Governments in Exploitation of Minerals, and National Reconstruction Contracts. The Federal Charter is explicit that both these will be driven by Federal States and not the Federal Government in Crazy Town. As it is, Crazy Town exercises no authority over Puntland and Somaliland and hence the desperation to curve out influence over Jubbaland.

Remember the Merahan are very recent settlers of Jubbaland from Puntland and hold sway in Crazy Town. Dheere entrenched Merahan in Chai Town pre-Alshabaab. Madobe has locked him out. But moving a Company of Irregulars nto Chai Town through Gedo has no Military significance - it is political posturing of well acquainted players which we cannot get caught between. How they form Jubbaland is of interest to us. Who is cojoined is entirely their shauri as long they play KFF football!

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty EASTERN DRC

Post  mchoraji Tue Mar 12 2013, 09:49

So kabila issues a threat to M23.without external help, is he really able to punish the M23 should they fail to heed his warning?

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/03/12/293122/congo-gives-m23-till-mar-15-to-disarm/
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Post  Guest Tue Mar 12 2013, 13:14

Precisely what I posted Earlier today in the KDF pages. Because the NIF mandate which SAADC was hoping to legitimise their intervention in DRC, was castrated by the UNSC subordinating it to MONUSCO, I do not envisage it deploying anytime soon. And that Kabila would pretty soon precipitate a crisis in South Kivu to justify invocation of the SAADC Defence Treaty and a rapid deployment of a SAADC force into DRC outside the MONUSCO-NIF Mandate. I am not certain yet how EAC/IGAD will react in consequence.

This Shotgun Marriage Kabila is thrusting down the throats of M23 is precipitous and also founded on splitting Sultani from Ntaganda/Runinga. Ntaganda will not go down without a bloodbath which is the trigger SAADC seeks to go into Ituri and Kivu to clean the rats out. There is just no way that Kabila will allow Kagame to extend Tutsi demography into South & North Kivu in the guise of resettling refugees, as contained in the Document Kabila offers the M23.

@Tempest, bana.

mchoraji wrote:So kabila issues a threat to M23.without external help, is he really able to punish the M23 should they fail to heed his warning?

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/03/12/293122/congo-gives-m23-till-mar-15-to-disarm/

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REGIONAL DISCUSSIONS: - Page 8 Empty Botswana At It Again

Post  Spartan Wed Mar 13 2013, 17:11

When Botswana threatened to arrest Al Bashir, I thought they 'd taken leave of their pan-African senses. Apparently, these guys have got drunk on the West's praise and are ready to be the West's backing dog in our backyard. I feel insulted. And I am not even Kenyan. what game are these guys playing?


Last edited by Spartan on Thu Mar 14 2013, 08:56; edited 1 time in total
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